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Climate Change and the economy

Updated: Mar 4, 2023

As a global community, it's important that we address the issue of climate change and the potential costs of inaction. According to Deloitte research, the world economy could lose a staggering US$178 trillion by 2070 if we don't take decisive action to address climate change. The NGFS (Network for Greening the Financial System) has also predicted that climate change could result in losses to GDP of over 6% by 2050.

Hence it is important for businesses and individuals to be concious of the above costs and move towards protecting our enviornment and preventing climate change. But it's not all doom and gloom. There are also significant economic benefits to be gained from transitioning to a low-carbon economy. For example, making heavy one-time investments in technology can lead to lower average costs of production for sustainable products in the long term. This has been seen with solar panels, for instance. In addition, reducing pollution can lead to significant health benefits. Poor air quality is a major problem, causing a range of health issues, particularly for the elderly and young people. By addressing this issue, we can reduce healthcare costs in the long run.



Of course, there are also limitations to consider. Achieving a net zero emissions target requires significant financial investment, and this can create an opportunity cost. For example, the US would need to invest $2.5 trillion (11% of GDP) by 2030 in order to deliver on its goal of achieving net zero emissions by 2050, according to estimates from Princeton University. Meanwhile, the European Commission has forecast that €3.5 trillion will be needed to achieve the same goal.


So what can be done to promote sustainable development and address the issue of climate change? One policy option is the use of tradable pollution permits. These permits set caps on the level of pollution that can be produced by a particular economic activity, and are issued to firms. If a firm produces less pollution than its allocated permit limit, it can then sell the excess permits to firms that are producing more pollution than their limit. This creates an incentive for firms to reduce pollution, as they can receive revenue from selling their excess permits and also save on costs by polluting less.


An example of this policy in action is the European Union's Emissions Trading System for carbon dioxide emissions. By nature, firms are profit-oriented, so it's in their best interest to reduce pollution whenever possible. The use of tradable pollution permits can therefore encourage the development of clean technology and help to drive down pollution levels.


Overall, it's clear that addressing climate change is not just an environmental issue, but also a financial one. The costs of inaction could be catastrophic, but by taking decisive action, we can not only protect our planet, but also reap the economic benefits of transitioning to a low-carbon economy. It's up to us to make the right choices and ensure a sustainable future for all.




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